A journal of events, trends, 
challenges and opportunities
in the employment marketplace.


Summer 2008 Issue


Employment Trends . . .
Unemployment Rates, and the Retention of Productive Employees

by JD Harvill CPC

 According to a new employment trends measure from the Conference Board more months of job losses lie ahead.

The unemployment rate posted its largest jump in 22 years, rising to 5.5% from 5% in April. But, the Conference Board economists said that the 5.5% rate may be overstating unemployment in the current economy due to the influx of teenagers into the work force who have not been able to find jobs.

Keith Hembree, chief economist of First American Funds, expects more payroll losses of about 50,000 to 60,000 jobs a month through the second half of the year. And he thinks the unemployment rate is likely to reach 6% sometime in early 2009.

Dunhill Search of West Atlanta
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Other Articles of Interest:


Building A Quality Organization
Factors Affecting Staffing...
Continency vs Retained
Balancing Recruiting and Retention

Please share with us a little about the open position that has been most difficult to fill recently!
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What position/title seems most difficult to fill?

How long have you been trying to fill this position?

What is one trait your candidates have lacked?

Monster.com reports: “The demand for workers in the US eased further in May as the sluggish economy prompted employers across the country to scale back on hiring, according to the Monster Employment Index. However, the eight-point dip in May comes on the heels of three consecutive months of growth, and demand actually picked up for some key occupations such as management and healthcare.

Doctor Donald Sabbarese, Director of Kennesaw State University's Economic Center points out that "Laying off less productive workers, what you are left with, more productive workers."

If your company is strong enough to avoid layoffs and hiring freezes you may still want to proactively build your employment brand image and counter morale concerns whatever their causes.

Hire more carefully if you can, searching a bit harder for those high productivity individuals that can continue to build your momentum.  A strong recruiter may well be able to supply you with these quality candidates, who can be attracted by a more positive brand image.

Talking proactively with your present high productivity employees may also be a good idea.  Perhaps they will admit to concerns about rising fuel costs or economic instability.  You can be the hero once again by supporting fresh ideas regarding flexible hours and work at home solutions to counter their rising commute budget.

If you are in the position of having to assist with relocation for new or high productivity employees, then perhaps its time to work a bit harder at supporting these folks as well.  The housing market is problematic at best right now, so offering more services or monies up front to help retain the good people may be necessary.

Remember that there can be a strong bond of loyalty between a company and an employee that lives “just down the street”.

Helping get your employees closer to the facility, and allowing them the flexibility to manage their rising commute costs are important tools in the battle against failing morale, and over the next few years morale and retention are going to become important issues for most companies.

Next time, we’ll talk about the upcoming labor sourcing issues related to the Baby Boomer’s retirement plans…  Its time to rethink the importance of RETENTION!

JD Harvill CPC, jdharvill@dunhillatlanta.com

 

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ASK THE EMPLOYMENT EXPERTS

Steve Hines Dear Steve and Jon,

What impact do you see the economy is having on jobs now? 

 Signed: Concerned
Jon Harvill
Steve Hines, consultant, career coach and author of Atlanta Jobs
http://www.ajobs.com/

Dear Concerned,

Nothing good, that’s for sure! Don’t panic, but be pro-active just in case. You always should have your resume current, but if you don’t, do it now. In a slower economy, companies will be even more bottom-line oriented, so be certain to emphasize accomplishments and achievements that saved your company money. Then look at the finished “product” – not the paper resume, but whom it represents, YOU. What can you do to make yourself a more valuable employee, both for your current company and for potential companies? What computer-related innovations and advancements should you be learning? Consider taking night classes to further your education or for certification in your field.
Jon Harvill CPC, consultant with Dunhill Professional Search
http://dunhillatlanta.com/

Dear Concerned,

Like you, some hiring officials are becoming concerned and are holding off on making a hiring decision until that perfectly risk-free candidate shows up. This slows down the hiring process and provides frustration to job seekers, who may experience ten interviews before receiving the right offer, rather than three or four in normal times. Less accomplished hiring officials will lose the best candidates to faster moving competitors. Under-staffed organizations will lose market share and will be slower to recover than the adequately staffed competitor.

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The Cost of a Vacant Position
by Jon Harvill CPC

 

Dr. John Sullivan, when heading the Human Resources Management Program at San Francisco State University, used the example, "If an airline bought a new 747, and then let it sit for two months on the runway because they didn't have a pilot, what would the cost be to the airline?"

What if a new business venture, which was targeted to make millions of dollars in profits, cannot begin until the key personnel is recruited,---and the understaffed Human Resources department takes six months to hire the key executives?

What is lost if a critical Time To Market (TTM) is slightly delayed by staffing issues and results in a new product having a weak #2 position in the marketplace, rather than a strong #1 position?

If we expect cost reductions and cost avoidance from our purchasing and our production staffs, what happens when they fail to accomplish the lower costs because, they are spread too thinly due to having unfilled positions; yet their competitor continues to reduce its costs?

Many firms calculate the cost-per-hire, but few have taken the time to calculate the cost of a vacant position. Don Schwerzler, Managing Director of Family Business Institute, feels that unfilled positions cost the U.S. economy billions of dollars.

"Most organizations fail to make a direct connection between the time it takes to fill a vacancy, and the dollars they end up losing from the bottom line," he said recently. "As a rule-of-thumb, the average manager should make for their company at least five times his or her salary -- i.e. a $50,000 supervisor should move $250,000 to the bottom line; a $100,000 executive should personally be responsible for $500,000 profits."

CASE STUDY 1:
In a real life case study, a client company balked when told that a retained search should be used to work out conflicting expectations held by their plant management and their corporate staff, regarding a newly created Materials Manager position.  The retained search was quoted to be the same rate as the contingency search that was chosen, so expected cost was not a factor in the decision.

Over the course of a full year numerous candidates received thorough vetting, including travel, interviewing, psychological testing and more interviewing. Midway through the one-year process, one hire was made and he lasted only six weeks.

Implementation of a critical scheduling system was delayed a year and urgently needed cost reductions, process improvements and the supply chain staff’s training and developments were missed, and all due to the inability to agree on a viable candidate.

The position was eventually filled with an $80,000 Materials Manager, probably no better than dozens who had been considered and rejected before. 

Using Don Schwerzler's formula, an $80,000 position should earn the company five times their salary, or $400,000 per year. That is $33,333 per month that did NOT go to the bottom line.  Given the strategic nature of Supply Chain function, I'll bet many of you can make the argument that the cost was actually a great deal more than $400,000.

Possibly with no direct connection to this course of events, the company has since been sold.

Ending on a happier thought, another case study comes to mind:

CASE STUDY 2:
Management for a Fortune 500 company called from Minneapolis on a Monday asking for help filling a Warehouse Manager position in St. Louis. The company had been increasing inventory levels trying to improve flagging service levels but the extra inventory just made it more difficult to find and pull the correct product.  Service levels continued to decline, causing a flood of customer complaints.

We had the new Warehouse Manager onboard within fourteen days.  During the post-assignment debrief process the company gave an unsolicited testimonial recapping how we had saved them money.  They had budgeted $20,000 for relocation and no relocation was required.  We had found a Warehouse Manager for $10,000 less than they were prepared to pay. They gave us credit for $15,000, identified as lost-opportunity savings, for finding someone in two weeks while they had expected the search to take six weeks. 

However, the real savings were accomplished over the next year. The new Warehouse Manager had committed to reach the targeted service level and also remove $1,000,000 from their inventory. He actually reduced their inventory by $2,000,000 and improved service 2% above their targeted level. In addition to saving the $2,000,000 in reduced inventories and the $360,000 annual carrying cost on that inventory, our client's customers were happy and buying product once again.

Jon Harvill CPC, jharvill@dunhillatlanta.com


Are you interested in receiving more information of this kind?  Visit our website at dunhillatlanta.com. There will be more to come here, too. This e-zine -- the “Dunhill Professional Search Consultant” -- is published several times each year and is dedicated to providing employment market trends and competitive hiring tips to our Customers.


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